
Allen's 25 career rushing TDs (8 last season) already rank 20th all-time among QBs. Even if Allen's accuracy dips modestly this season, he still has his legs to boost his fantasy value. The addition of Stefon Diggs also helped (20 of his 62 completions of 20-plus yards (4th) went to the speedster). Allen's improvement wasn't a fluke - he entered training camp with re-worked mechanics, footwork and balance aimed specifically at improving accuracy. Part of Allen's turnaround was thanks to shorter passes - his average target depth dropped from 9.5 to 8.9 - but the most notable improvement came on downfield passing where his percentage of on-target throws jumped from 41.4 (24th) to 47.8 (15th), improving his completion percentage on attempts of 20-plus yards from 25.7 (28th) to 43.3 (8th).

And he went from 29th in bad-pass percentage (22.1) to 12th (18.2), sandwiched between Patrick Mahomes and Ryan Tannehill as he set franchise records for completions, passing yards and TDs. Allen improved his completion percentage by nearly 11 points to 69.2 percent, vaulting from last in the league in 2019 to fourth last season. The extent to which his accuracy improved, however, was surprising. Allen is the rare dual-threat QB with upside for 600-plus pass attempts and strong per-pass efficiency, giving him a shot to become the first player since Brett Favre (1995-97) to lead the position in fantasy scoring three consecutive years.Īllen played himself into the MVP conversation last season, which perhaps shouldn't be surprising, considering better accuracy was seemingly the only thing keeping him from being a top-5 fantasy QB. In the red zone, TE Dawson Knox is an effective target when Allen doesn't throw to Diggs or Davis or run it in himself. The Bills return their main playmakers, including wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis, and they signed Jamison Crowder to replace slot receiver Cole Beasley, giving Allen one of the league’s better WR trios. Coach Sean McDermott said his franchise QB might run less frequently this season, but 48 of Allen’s 122 rushes last year were scrambles (3rd), so even if the Bills limit designed runs he'll find opportunities to use his legs. And with triple-digit rushes (for the third consecutive year), a league-high 6.3 yards per carry and six rushing touchdowns, Allen separated himself from the pack in QB fantasy scoring. He ranked fourth in pass attempts, though, which helped him top 4,000 passing yards and 35 TDs for the second year in a row. After taking a huge leap the year before, Allen’s on-target rate fell by five percentage points and his completion rate by six points last season, contributing to a decline of more than a yard in YPA (6.8, 24th). Read Past OutlooksĪllen’s efficiency regressed last season, but passing volume and rushing production were enough to make him the first quarterback since Daunte Culpepper (2003-04) to lead the position in fantasy scoring in back-to-back years. Nevertheless, Allen should again challenge for QB1 in fantasy thanks to his potentially league-leading combination of pass and rush attempts. In the backfield, Buffalo replaced Devin Singletary with Damien Harris, who has 105 fewer career catches and could take more of the goal-line carries. Gabe Davis disappointed last season, and while the team drafted Dalton Kincaid in the first round to join Dawson Knox, the learning curve for rookie tight ends is usually steep.
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The only negative is a receiving corps that looks dicey behind standout WR Stefon Diggs. That works well enough when a QB gets healthy passing volume, completes passes downfield and adds elite rushing production. Allen’s completion rate held steady at 63.3 percent, though it again was far off his impressive 2020 percentage (69.2).
AARON RODGERS VS JOSH ALLEN STATS FULL
Allen attempted 79 fewer passes than he did the previous year, in part because he played 16 games instead of 17, making up for it by increasing his YPA from 6.8 to 7.6 (8th) while his average target depth jumped a full yard to 9.2 (3rd). He came within 124 passing yards, one TD pass and one rushing yard of matching his 2021 numbers (and, like in 2021, the Bills lost in the divisional playoffs).

Allen fell just short last year in his bid to three-peat as the top fantasy QB, finishing second with a remarkably similar season to the one before despite playing through an injury to his throwing elbow.
